1.The correct answer is ： 91
If t = 1 in the first quarter of 20X5
t = 8 in the fourth quarter of 20X6
Trend (Y) = 65 + (7 x 8)
=121
Forecast = trend + seasonal component
=121 + (-30)
=121-30
=91
2. The correct answer is ： $1,344
In the first month of 20X9, t = 13
丫 = $1,500 -$(3 x 13)
=$1,461
Forecast = trend x seasonal component
=$1,461 x0.92
=$1,344
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